Happy Halloween! Stocks can be beaten down by the market — sometimes it makes sense but other times it’s outright irrational! Which is a trick? Which is a treat?
Treat: A&W yields 5.1%
As the name suggests, A&W Revenue Royalties Income Fund (TSX:AW.UN) collects royalties. Specifically, it collects 3% of sales from the 973 A&W locations across Canada. In the trailing 12 months (TTM), it had CAD$0 of capital spending.
Yes, you read that right. A&W didn’t have to pay a cent to maintain its cash flow generation of CAD$34 million. It’s such a small company that many funds ignore A&W, which makes it all the merrier for retail investors like you and me.
A&W is a franchise. Qualified franchisees pay a minimum of CAD$250,000-350,000 to start their restaurants using A&W’s proven business model and having its support. A&W wants its franchisees to succeed because their success goes straight to A&W’s bottom line.
A&W’s recent weighted average interest rate was less than 3.6%, which suggests it’s a low risk investment. The company’s TTM free cash flow payout ratio was about 90%. So, income investors can trust its monthly cash distribution.
Moreover, A&W’s recent stock price decline of almost 20% from $46 to $37 is purely multiples compression from a high valuation to a decent valuation. And I believe it’s a Halloween treat to be able to accumulate the units at the current valuation.
Want powerful price appreciation within the next 12 months? Both stocks of Spin Master (TSX:TOY) and Trip.com Group (NASDAQ:TCOM), which just changed its name and ticker from Ctrip.Com International (NASDAQ:CTRP) this month to reflect that it’s an international business versus one that’s focused on China, have a probable chance of doing so.
Spin Master toys win a special place in children’s hearts
If there were only one toy company that would succeed, it’d be Spin Master. It has had the highest return on equity and profit margin when compared to larger peers Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) and Hasbro (NASDAQ:HAS).
Spin Master is innovative. Across six research and development (R&D) centres, it has a deep internal talent pool that comes up with new ideas. It also has about 200-300 third-party inventors who complement its internal R&D. This results in thousands of ideas being filtered down to 30-50 that will be commercialized every year.
It’s no wonder that, since 2000, Spin Master has received 103 Toy of The Year (TOTY) nominations with 30 wins across a range of product categories, including 13 TOTY nominations for Innovative Toy of the Year.
Spin Master’s latest novelty, which was launched in early October, is Owleez™, the first ever interactive toy pet that kids can teach how to fly. This new toy, along with five others from Spin Master, are on Walmart’s (NYSE:WMT) Top Rated By Kids list.
Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. (TSX:FFH) is a curious stock that moves differently from the U.S. and Canadian stock markets. This potentially makes Fairfax a good candidate to trade while adding diversification to investors’ stock portfolios.
Fairfax’s business model is similar to Berkshire Hathaway’s (NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B). It has an underlying insurance business that generates float as a source of low-cost capital to invest for higher returns. Fairfax’s insurance businesses operate on a decentralized basis, which allows Fairfax to focus on capital allocation.
In the first half of the year, Fairfax’s insurance businesses were profitable. It had a consolidated combined ratio of 96.9% for its insurance operations. The combined ratio of <100% implies profitability.
According to Prem Watsa, the chairman, CEO, and founder of Fairfax, the company can achieve a 15% return on shareholders’ equity with a 95% combined ratio and a 7% return from the investment portfolio.