BlackRock (NYSE:BLK) has a long growth runway thanks to its large-exposure to passive investments. Moreover, it’s trading at a good value today and offers a secure yield of 3%.
BlackRock is a Long-Running Winner
BLK has been a long-term winner, delivering 15-year total returns of 15.8% per year versus the S&P 500’s 7.4% return in the period. Its 10-year returns of 13.5% per year also won against S&P 500’s 12.9%.
BLK’s earnings can appear a bit bumpy but in reality is slow growth periods occurring after high-growth ones. For example, it had three years of double-digit rate growth followed by a slowdown in 2015 and 2016. Then, high growth resumed in 2017. What’s important is that its long-term growth is intact. For example, from 2007, before the last financial crisis hit, to 2018, the company’s earnings per share increased by 11.5% per year on average.
BlackRock’s consistent earnings growth has allowed the stock to begin paying a dividend in 2003. This year marks its 16th consecutive year of dividend growth. BLK’s five- and 10-year dividend growth rates are 11.3% and 15.5%, respectively.
With a payout ratio of ~48%, there’s a big buffer to protect BLK’s dividend, which is currently good for a yield of 3%. Investors can also expect dividend increases in the future to more or less match its earnings growth rate.
At ~$41 per share, Altria (NYSE:MO) trades at a P/E of ~10 and offers a yield of ~8.1%. At ~$72 per share, Philip Morris (NYSE:PM) trades at ~13.9 times earnings and offers a yield of 6.5%. Why is MO cheaper than PM?
One reason is MO’s bigger debt levels, such that its S&P credit rating is “BBB”, which is much worse than PM’s “A” rating.
Another reason is that investors are worried that a MO-PM merger would lead to essentially a dividend cut for current MO shareholders. PM currently offers a 6.5% yield that’s 20% lower than MO’s current yield.
Since the merger could be a potential all-stock, merger of equals, based on Tuesday’s market close prices, the combined market cap of Altria and Philip Morris would be ~$190.3 billion.
Additionally, based on the percentage of their current market caps the combined company’s annual payout would be ~$4.14 per share with a share price of ~$59.54 for the combined company. This implies a yield of ~6.95% for the combined company.
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD)(NYSE:TD) has a 1st or 2nd position in Canada and a sizeable business in the U.S. (about 38% of net income). It focuses on retail banking, which is perceived to be lower risk.
TD’s recent performance has been stable. In the first 9 months of fiscal 2019, TD’s revenue climbed 6.8% to CAD$30.7 billion and adjusted earnings-per-share rose 5.6% to CAD$5.11. The U.S. Retail segment continues to be the key driver of growth. The provision for credit losses ratio was 0.43%, which aligns with the average of the Big Six banks.
TD’s capital position remains strong with its common equity tier 1 capital ratio at 12%, and its shareholders’ equity rose 11% from $78 billion a year ago to $86 billion today.