If you’re new to dividend stock investing, you’d want to wrap your head around what a good dividend yield is. In this video, I’ll use real-world examples, including Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), General Electric (NYSE:GE), and Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG).
You’re probably interested in investing in dividend stocks if you’re here to learn about dividend yields and want to know what a good dividend yield is.
I’ll first explain what a dividend yield is, and what affects it. Then, I’ll follow with a super simple example as well as real-life examples, introducing some safe dividend stocks and their dividend yields.
Second, I’ll explain the difference between dividend yield and yield on cost and why they’re relevant to investors.
Third, I’ll give examples on what makes a good dividend yield, as you may be wondering if, say, a 5% yield is better than a 2% yield. I can tell you right off that that it’s not always the case.
Although I aim to invest in fundamentally sound companies, I will use technical analysis techniques to help me determine when to buy or potentially sell a stock.
Today, I’ll go over some recent examples of technical charts of growth stocks: Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), and JD.com (NASDAQ:JD). But these are techniques that you can apply to any stock chart, including dividend stocks.
There’s a lot of information here. So, it’s probably better to watch the YouTube video instead and pause it whenever you need to. However, in case you prefer a blog version, here it is:
JD Stock Chart Reading
JD’s recent technical chart is beautiful and perfect learning material so I’ll start with this one.
Figure 1. It bottomed and then consolidated with higher lows before breaking out from the resistance that was marked by its 200-day simple moving average (or SMA) that’s in red.
Figure 2. Notice that two indicators suggested a potential bottom. First, the Relative Strength Index (or RSI) hit below 30 (so the stock was oversold) and it eventually rose above the 30 mark.
Second, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (or MACD) had the black line crossing above the red line, which indicated a change in direction of the stock.
The bottom was finally confirmed when JD stock climbed above the 50-day SMA, and it consolidated to eventually break above the long-term SMA.
Brookfield Property Partners LP’s (TSX:BPY.UN)(NASDAQ:BPY) / Brookfield Property REIT’s (NASDAQ:BPR) Core Retail business is resilient, and it’s going through a phase of redevelopment to be more relevant in today’s retail environment.
The REIT’s Core Office business is doing well.
Realized gains reduced 2019 payout ratio from 95% to 84%.
We’re comfortable with BPY’s token raise (+0.8%) of the Q1 2020 cash distribution, as the yield is high at 7.3%.
Financial Overview for Q4 and 2019
Funds from operations (FFO) per unit (excluding opportunistic portfolio investment gains) declined 6% for 2019 against 2018. However, BPY stock did increase its cash distribution by 4.8% year over year.
Based on FFO only, the payout ratio was 95%. Thanks to the investment gains from its opportunistic portfolio, the actual payout ratio (based on “total earnings”) is lowered to 84% for 2019. Although this is higher than the 60% range in the previous years, it’s still sustainable.
Capital Recycling Program
BPY has been consistently able to sell assets in the opportunistic portfolio or mature assets at higher than their accounting values and recycle that capital into properties with expected higher returns.
In 2019, BPY sold $3.3 billion of assets at 6% higher than their accounting values and generated net proceeds of $1.8 billion that were deployed at higher returns.
Management expects to continue this capital recycling program of stabilized or mature assets to achieve net proceeds of $1.5-$2.0 billion for redeployment.
Token Dividend Increase; Dividend Yields 7.3%
Admittedly, BPY’s 2019 payout ratio of 95%, based solely on FFO, was higher than normal. Its average payout ratio (based solely on FFO) from 2014 to 2018 was 85%.